EARLY RESULTS?

(Compiled by Americablog)

Political Wire has some early returns in various Senate races. As Goddard notes, take this as you will:

Rhode Island - Dems lead by 7
Virginia - Dems lead by 7
Pennsylvania - Dems lead by 15
Ohio - Dems lead by 14
New Jersey - Dems lead by 8
Montana - Dems lead by 9
Missouri - Dems lead by 2

Tennessee - GOP leads by 3
Arizone - GOP leads by 4

Huffington Post has similar results, with only Virginia and Montana showing slight differences.

Rhode Island - Dems lead by 7
Virginia - Dems lead by 5
Pennsylvania - Dems lead by 15
Ohio - Dems lead by 14
New Jersey - Dems lead by 7
Montana - Dems lead by 7
Missouri - Dems lead by 2

Tennessee - GOP leads by 3
Arizone - GOP leads by 4

So far, that's a pretty good situation, but it's still very early and there's a lot of votes for the Repubs to steal so stay tuned.

Another thing I'm keeping an eye on is Tradesports.
The head of my political science department turned me onto it and Glenn Greenwald has been all over it today. Glenn describes Tradesports best:
A very active and (seemingly) informed market for political junkies to trade in predictive shares for each individual Congressional race and overall control of Congress. In the same way The New York Stock Exchange functions, the trading transactions at various prices between willing buyer and seller produce (at least in theory) an accurate probability for the outcome of each race.

Below are the percentages assigned for each listed outcome. The Democrats need a net gain of six seats to gain control of the Senate, and if this trading market is right, they would pick up exactly six seats (the Democratic "turn" seats are bolded below). On the race-by-race list, the market is betting that no Democratic incumbent loses (none is even close to endangered):

I'll use Glenn's updated list as the site has been choppy today given higher traffic:

Arizona - turning Democratic - 7.9%
Connecticut - remaining Democratic (Lamont) - 4.0%
Connecticut - remaining "Democratic" (Lieberman)- 94.7%
Maryland - remaining Democratic - 65.3%
Michigan - remaining Democratic - 94.9%
Minnesota - remaining Democratic - 92.9%
Missouri - turning Democratic - 60.0%
Montana - turning Democratic - 69.0%
New Jersey - remaining Democratic - 94.2%
Ohio - turning Democratic - 96.2%
Pennsylvania - turning Democratic - 94.2%
Rhode Island - turning Democratic - 68.0%
Tennessee - turning Democratic - 22.0%
Virginia - turning Democratic - 66.0%
Washington - remaining Democratic - 92.2%

I highlight the ones based on Political Wire's and Huffpost's returns and they seem to jibe with the early numbers.